决策分析

这里分享一下我制作的课件(全英文,30课时,打开密码请发邮件咨询)。内容包括:

  1. Introduction to Decision Analysis
  • Course summary
  • DA & other disciplines
  • DA examples, elements, and steps
  • DA principles and taxonomy
  1. Stochastic Decision Analysis
  • DA without probabilities
  • DA under risk
  • Decision Tree
  • Sensitive analysis
  • Basic concepts in Probability Theory
  • Subjective probability
  1. Utility Function
  • Utility, choice, and preference
  • Lottery
  • Utility function
  • Risk
  1. Bayesian Decision Analysis
  • Conditional probability
  • Bayes’ theorem
  • The value of information
  • Sampling
  • Bayes decision rule
  1. Multi-objective Decision Analysis
  • Terminology in multi-criteria decision analysis
  • Objectives and attributes
  • Multi-attribute utility theory
  • Decision matrix and data pre-processing
  • Weight
  • Multi-attribute decision making (MADM)
  • Multi-objective decision making (MODM)
  1. Group decision-making
  • Introduction to group decision making
  • Social choice theory
  • Social welfare function
  • Experts judgment and/or group participation